Conf = Big East State = CO
Nickname = Pioneers Coach = Liza KellyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 96.7497101 home-field advantage = -0.83 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 209 H Louisville Atlantic Coas ( 8-11, 92.0) 16- 8 217 A Michigan Big Ten (14- 3, 97.3) 4- 8 223 H Ohio State Big Ten ( 8- 9, 90.5) 15- 5 225 H San Diego State Pac-12 ( 2-14, 83.5) 18- 8 302 H Maryland Big Ten (12- 5, 97.2) 8-10 308 A Northwestern Big Ten (13- 2, 99.9) 10-14 311 A Stony Brook Colonial (15- 2, 97.1) 8- 7 317 H Stanford Pac-12 (11- 4, 96.6) 10- 6 324 H Connecticut Big East (10- 6, 92.4) 18- 9 329 A Georgetown Big East ( 7-10, 91.2) 11-10 403 H Colorado Pac-12 (11- 5, 93.1) 14- 8 406 H Marquette Big East ( 6-11, 87.7) 20- 6 410 A Butler Big East ( 2-14, 82.5) 20- 5 414 H Arizona State Pac-12 ( 8- 9, 90.7) 21-11 420 A Villanova Big East ( 7- 8, 88.4) 11- 8 422 N Yale Ivy League (13- 2, 99.0) 12-11 502 N Villanova Big East ( 7- 8, 88.4)
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 209 H Louisville 16- 8 8 5 1.45 217 A Michigan 4- 8 -4 -1 - -2.63 223 H Ohio State 15- 5 10 7 0.00 225 H San Diego State 18- 8 10 14 0.00 302 H Maryland 8-10 -2 0 - -2.38 308 A Northwestern 10-14 -4 -3 -0.03 311 A Stony Brook 8- 7 1 -1 + 2.15 317 H Stanford 10- 6 4 0 + 3.06 324 H Connecticut 18- 9 9 5 1.79 329 A Georgetown 11-10 1 4 - -3.73 403 H Colorado 14- 8 6 4 1.50 406 H Marquette 20- 6 14 9 0.00 410 A Butler 20- 5 15 13 0.00 414 H Arizona State 21-11 10 6 0.12 420 A Villanova 11- 8 3 7 -- -4.00 422 N Yale 12-11 1 -2 + 3.22UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 420 A Villanova 11- 8 3 7 -- -4.00 217 A Michigan 4- 8 -4 -1 - -2.63 302 H Maryland 8-10 -2 0 - -2.38 329 A Georgetown 11-10 1 4 - -3.73OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 311 A Stony Brook 8- 7 1 -1 + 2.15 317 H Stanford 10- 6 4 0 + 3.06 422 N Yale 12-11 1 -2 + 3.22
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 96.76 Power Rank................. 12 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 82.63 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 14 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6898 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 14 RPI Rating............... .6398 RPI Rank................... 14 Champ. Probability ...... 4.5 Championship Rank ......... 7 Selection sum ........... 37 Selection Rank ............ 12 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 85. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 5 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 75. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 9 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 13.5 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 8.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 3 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 10.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 10.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 12.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 4.7